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: A good decision can lead to a bad result due to luck, and a bad decision can lead to a good result. To improve, you must evaluate the logic used at the time of the decision, not just the final outcome.

Critics and readers generally praise the book for its accessibility and practical application in business and personal life. While some find the poker analogies repetitive, most agree that the shift from "I'm right" to "I'm 70% sure" is a transformative way to navigate a complex world. thinking in bets annie duke pdf

“I’m 70% confident that X will happen.” : A good decision can lead to a